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# 1.7 Head of State (Monarchy or Republic)
- URL: https://www.peoplesfuture.scot/1-7-head-of-state-monarchy-or-republic/
- Published: 2026-08-18T13:46:57.000Z
- Updated: 2026-08-18T13:46:57.000Z
- Author: The Peoples Future Scotland
- Tags: The Independence Debate

*Who would be Head of State?*

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The core question is both symbolic and constitutional: who would be Head of State in an independent Scotland? The short answer is clear and sequenced. At independence, Scotland would remain a constitutional monarchy with the current monarch as Head of State. This provides maximum continuity and matches the position set out in the 2013 White Paper Scotland’s Future as well as the practice of several independent Commonwealth countries. A later democratic process—the Constitutional Convention followed by a referendum on the permanent constitution—would decide whether to retain the monarchy or move to a republic. The people of Scotland would decide.

The identity of the Head of State is symbolically charged and practically secondary to the continuity of Parliament, Government, law, currency and public services. Treating it as a day-one redesign would add division and complexity to a transition that already requires negotiations on debt, defence, borders and institutions. Retaining the monarch at independence minimises that load. It does not settle the long-term question. The interim constitution would provide for a constitutional monarch acting on the advice of Scottish ministers; the permanent constitution process would put monarchy or republic to the people.

The main design choice is sequencing: continuity at independence, then a democratic decision. The main constraints are political—opinion is divided—and procedural—the permanent choice depends on the Convention and referendum timeline set out in the constitution section. This section states the interim position, the mechanism for the later choice, and why alternatives that force an immediate republic or that lock in the monarchy forever are rejected. The 18–24 month working timeline to Independence Day, the continuity of the existing Scottish Parliament and Government, and the two-stage written constitution process already defined supply the institutional frame within which the Head of State question is managed. Precision about sequencing protects both stability on day one and democratic ownership of the long-term form of the state.

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### **Current Position and Legal/Institutional Baseline**

Scotland currently forms part of the United Kingdom’s constitutional monarchy. The monarch is Head of State for the United Kingdom as a whole. Royal functions in relation to Scotland are exercised within the framework of the Scotland Act 1998 and the wider uncodified constitutional arrangements, ultimately resting on the sovereignty of the UK Parliament. The Scottish Parliament and Government operate under that overarching structure. The 2013 White Paper explicitly proposed that an independent Scotland would remain within the Union of the Crowns, with the monarch continuing as Head of State. That position was deliberate: it minimised the number of fundamental institutional changes required on day one. It aligned Scotland with the established practice of independent Commonwealth realms that share the same monarch while exercising full sovereignty.

The baseline after a lawful Yes vote and independence settlement is the end of UK parliamentary sovereignty in relation to Scotland and the need for a Scottish constitutional foundation. The interim constitution, as set out in the preceding section, would supply that foundation from Independence Day. Within it, the position of Head of State must be stated clearly so that formal constitutional acts—royal assent to legislation, appointment of the First Minister, representative and ceremonial functions—can be performed without gap or ambiguity. The existing personal union of crowns supplies a recognised form of continuity. Several independent states, including Canada, Australia and New Zealand, demonstrate that the same monarch can serve as Head of State of fully sovereign countries with distinct constitutions, governments and legal systems. The Scottish choice to retain that arrangement for the interim period is a Scottish constitutional choice, not a residual UK governmental authority.

Public opinion on the monarchy in Scotland is mixed and has shifted over time. Polling has shown both significant support for retaining the monarch in an independent Scotland and substantial support for a republic, with variations by age, political affiliation and other factors. Some surveys indicate that support for independence can rise when linked to becoming a republic; others show continued attachment to the monarchy among large sections of the population. These differences form part of the political baseline. They are precisely why the long-term decision is deferred to a deliberative process and a dedicated popular vote rather than imposed at the moment of transition.

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### **Mechanism and Delivery**

The mechanism for the interim position is constitutional text and the ordinary machinery of a constitutional monarchy under Scottish ministerial advice. The interim constitution would provide that the monarch is Head of State and that royal functions in relation to Scotland are exercised on the advice of Scottish ministers, within the framework of that interim constitution. Formal acts such as royal assent to legislation, the appointment of the First Minister, and representative functions would follow Scottish constitutional rules and ministerial advice. The personal union of crowns would not imply any residual UK governmental authority over Scottish affairs. No new office needs to be created on Independence Day. No election or parliamentary appointment of a president is required. The existing constitutional monarchy continues in a Scottish constitutional setting.

UK agreement matters only insofar as the independence settlement and related legislation end the application of UK constitutional rules to Scotland. The Scottish choice to retain the monarch as Head of State for the interim period is a Scottish constitutional choice. Practical cooperation on any shared ceremonial or household matters would be minor and would not determine the constitutional position. The model does not require Commonwealth membership, though that would be a separate choice for the independent state; it requires only the constitutional decision to retain the monarch.

The mechanism for the long-term decision is the process already defined for the permanent constitution. A broadly based Constitutional Convention, established by law under the interim constitution’s process rules, would examine options. Those options would include continuing as a constitutional monarchy; moving to a parliamentary republic with a largely ceremonial president; or other models consistent with parliamentary democracy. The Convention would put its draft to the people in a dedicated referendum on the permanent constitution. Approval would bring the permanent text into force. Ideal timing remains within three to five years of Independence Day. Until that decision, the interim constitutional monarchy continues. If the permanent constitution retained the monarchy, the interim arrangement would become permanent under the new text. If it adopted a republic, the permanent constitution would provide for the transition to the new Head of State office, including the selection method, term and the necessary amendments to ceremonial and legal forms.

In the independent Scottish setting, the monarch would act as a constitutional Head of State in the same manner as in other independent realms: on the advice of Scottish ministers, not on the advice of UK ministers, and within the limits set by the Scottish constitution. This separation of advice and authority is well established in the practice of Canada, Australia and New Zealand. It ensures that the formal Head of State functions serve the Scottish constitutional order rather than any residual external governmental interest.

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### **Continuity Design**

Continuity is a design requirement. Retaining the monarch as Head of State at the point of independence avoids a gap in formal state personality and in the performance of constitutional functions that require a Head of State. Existing legal and ceremonial forms can continue under Scottish ministerial advice. The chain of formal authority for legislation, executive appointments and representative acts remains unbroken. Continuity of the Head of State office sits alongside continuity of the Scottish Parliament and Government, continuity of Scots law and the courts, and continuity of rights protections under the interim constitution. Together, they ensure that the basic structure of the state never lacks a clear constitutional foundation.

If the permanent constitution later adopted a republic, the transition to the new office would be managed under that permanent text's implementation provisions. The permanent constitution would provide for selecting the first president, timing the change, and amending ceremonial and legal forms in advance, rather than improvising under pressure. The interim choice deliberately pushes redesign risk away from the highest-pressure moment of the transition—the period immediately around Independence Day—when payment systems, institutional capacity, border arrangements and the nuclear basing agreement require concentrated attention. Continuity of the Head of State is therefore a stability measure, not a permanent settlement. The later democratic process ensures that continuity is not mistaken for permanence.

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### **Constraints and Trade-offs**

### Legal constraints

The interim position requires clear provision in the interim constitution and the legal effect of the independence settlement ending the application of UK constitutional rules to Scotland. The long-term position depends on the legal establishment of the Constitutional Convention, the conduct of a lawful referendum, and the amendment and implementation rules of the permanent constitution. Once the permanent text is in force, no one has the unilateral power to alter the Head of State outside those processes. The legal constraint is therefore the need for explicit constitutional text at each stage and the limited but real dependence on the wider independence settlement to complete the separation of constitutional foundations. Once independence is achieved, the Scottish choice is a matter of Scottish constitutional law.

### Fiscal constraints

The fiscal cost of the interim position is negligible. Continuity of the existing constitutional monarchy under Scottish advice does not require creating a new office, holding an election, or building significant new institutional infrastructure on Independence Day. The costs of a later Convention and referendum are the same as the costs of the permanent constitution as a whole; they are not an additional Head of State-specific burden. Any transitional costs associated with a later move to a republic—changes to ceremonial forms, legal instruments and official documentation—would be one-off and manageable inside the ordinary budget of the independent state. The fiscal constraint is therefore minimal compared with the costs of capacity-building for tax, payments, financial regulation or diplomacy. The design deliberately avoids loading symbolic institutional redesign costs onto the already demanding transition period.

### Operational constraints

Operational delivery of Head of State functions under the interim arrangement requires only the ordinary machinery of a constitutional monarchy acting on Scottish ministerial advice. No new selection process, election or appointment procedure is required on Independence Day. Ceremonial and formal legal acts continue under adapted Scottish rules. If the permanent constitution later adopted a republic, operational constraints would arise in the design and timing of the handover: selection method, term, and amending forms and instruments. The permanent constitution’s implementation provisions manage those constraints rather than Independence Day. The operational constraint on the interim choice is therefore low. The design pushes any redesign complexity into the less pressured period after core state functions are established.

### Political constraints

Political opinion on the monarchy is divided. Significant sections of the population support retention of the monarch in an independent Scotland; significant sections support a republic. Forcing a republic on day one would alienate those who value continuity and the existing constitutional form. Locking in the monarchy permanently would alienate those who regard a republic as the natural expression of independence. Pressure from both directions is foreseeable. The political constraint is maintaining the integrity of the sequencing against maximalist demands for immediate change in either direction. The response is continuity first, followed by an open deliberative process and a direct popular vote. Deferral is not avoidance; it is the method that allows both sides a fair hearing without loading division onto the transition.

### Time constraints

The interim position must be ready by Independence Day and therefore sits inside the 18–24 month working timeline. Because it requires only constitutional text rather than creating a new office, the time demand is modest relative to other transition tasks. The long-term decision is aligned with the three-to-five-year ideal window for the permanent constitution. Both windows are demanding in the context of the wider transition, but the Head of State file is not the binding constraint on either. The time constraint is therefore the interaction with the broader constitutional and institutional timetable rather than any unique complexity of the Head of State question itself. Sequencing protects the transition from unnecessary time pressure on a symbolic issue.

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### **Consistency with the Wider Framework**

Head of State arrangements sit inside the interim and permanent constitution process already defined. They align with continuity of Parliament, Government, Scots law and courts: the same continuity-first logic applies. They do not affect sterlingisation, the fiscal rules, the nuclear basing agreement, the enhanced Common Travel Area-style movement framework, debt allocation, pensions continuity, day-one institutions or the Wealth Fund. The negotiation red lines do not include a demand on the UK regarding the monarchy; the choice is Scottish. There is no tension with the rest of the prospectus.

The interim monarchy is a stability measure that keeps formal constitutional functions continuous while the state establishes its core operational capacity. The people reserve the permanent choice through the Constitutional Convention and referendum. This division of labour matches the two-stage constitutional design and the wider principle that continuity on day one takes priority over symbolic redesign. The non-EU orientation, external recognition and treaty-making capacity required for the basing agreement and other international arrangements all presuppose a clear Head of State able to perform formal acts under Scottish advice from Independence Day. The sequenced approach supplies that clarity without pre-empting the long-term democratic decision.

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### **Hardest Critiques and Direct Responses**

### Feasibility

The hardest practical critique from one direction is that retaining the monarch at independence fails to complete the logic of independence and that a republic should be established immediately. The hardest critique from the other direction is that a later referendum unnecessarily reopens a settled arrangement and risks instability. The response to both is the same. Independence and the form of the Head of State are distinct questions. The independence referendum decides the first; the permanent constitution referendum decides the second after deliberation. Continuity at the point of transition protects stability; the later vote protects democratic ownership. The interim position is feasible: it requires constitutional text and the ordinary machinery of ministerial advice, not creating a new office under time pressure. The feasibility of the later choice depends on the Convention and referendum process already described; that process has cost and capacity requirements, but they are costs of the permanent constitution as a whole. The staged design is feasible because it separates the low-complexity continuity task from the higher-complexity democratic choice.

### Cost and fiscal burden

The fiscal burden of the interim position is negligible. Continuity of the constitutional monarchy under Scottish advice does not require new institutional infrastructure on Independence Day. The costs of the later Convention and referendum are not additional Head of State costs; they are the costs of the permanent constitution process. Any transitional costs of a later move to a republic would be one-off and manageable. The response to claims of high cost is that the design deliberately avoids loading symbolic redesign onto the transition, thereby reducing rather than increasing the fiscal and administrative burden at the most pressured moment. An immediate republic would add selection, appointment, or election costs and complexity precisely when capacity is most constrained.

### Dependence on agreement

Dependence on UK agreement is limited. The UK cannot permanently dictate Scotland’s Head of State after independence. The independence settlement and related legislation must end the application of UK constitutional rules to Scotland; once that is achieved, the Scottish constitutional choice stands. Practical cooperation on any shared ceremonial matters would be minor and would not determine the constitutional position. Adversarial negotiation on other files—debt, basing, borders—would not prevent Scotland from retaining the monarch under Scottish constitutional law for the interim period, nor from deciding the long-term form via Convention and referendum. The response is that this file is among the least dependent on ongoing UK cooperation of any in the prospectus.

### Transition risk

Transition risk on the Head of State file is low compared with pensions, currency, borders or the nuclear basing agreement. Continuity of the office avoids a gap in formal state personality and in the performance of constitutional functions. If the permanent constitution later adopted a republic, the risk would lie in the handover design. That risk is managed inside the permanent constitution’s implementation provisions, not on Independence Day. The interim choice deliberately pushes redesign risk away from the highest-pressure moment of the transition. The response to claims of high risk is that the sequenced approach minimises transition risk on this file by design.

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### **Alternatives (status quo and previous proposals)**

An immediate republic on Independence Day would require creating a new office, setting selection rules, and possibly holding an election or parliamentary appointment under time pressure. It would maximise division on a symbolic issue during the transition. That alternative is rejected in favour of continuity first. Permanent monarchy with no later vote would deny the people a dedicated choice on the long-term form of the state. That alternative is rejected in favour of Convention and referendum. Leaving the question entirely open with no interim rule would create uncertainty about who performs Head of State functions on and after Independence Day. That alternative is rejected in favour of a clear interim rule. The 2013 White Paper’s continuity position is retained for day one; the later democratic choice is made explicit through the permanent constitution process so that continuity is not mistaken for permanence. The status quo of the UK constitutional monarchy ends with independence; the framework replaces it with a sequenced Scottish constitutional choice.

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### **Political and public credibility**

To republicans, retaining the monarch at independence may be called a betrayal of the logic of independence. To constitutional monarchists, a later referendum may be called an unnecessary reopening of a settled arrangement. The precise answer to both is that neither group is asked to accept permanent defeat on day one; both are asked to accept sequencing. Independence decides the existence of the state; the permanent constitution referendum decides the long-term form of its Head of State. Continuity protects stability when it is most needed; the later vote protects democratic ownership. Credibility rests on a process that is transparent about the interim choice, open about the later decision, and consistent with the two-stage constitutional design. A strategy that forced either outcome on day one would forfeit the support of a substantial section of the population at the moment when broad legitimacy is most valuable. The sequenced approach preserves that legitimacy.

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### **Position Summarised**

Scotland would become independent as a constitutional monarchy with the current monarch as Head of State. This matches the 2013 White Paper, provides maximum stability during transition, and follows the practice of other independent countries that share the same monarch. The monarch would act on the advice of Scottish ministers within the interim constitution and, if retained, within the permanent constitution. The long-term decision—monarchy or republic—would be made later by the people of Scotland through the Constitutional Convention and the referendum on the permanent constitution, ideally within three to five years. Continuity on day one; democratic choice thereafter. That is the most practical and least divisive route. It avoids loading a symbolic redesign onto the transition and avoids locking in either outcome without a dedicated popular vote. Transition risk on this file is low; dependence on UK agreement is limited; fiscal and operational costs of the interim position are negligible. The Head of State question is important; it is not more important than payment continuity, legal continuity or the successful establishment of the state’s core functions. This sequence keeps that priority clear.

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### **Conclusion**

At independence, Scotland would remain a constitutional monarchy with the current monarch as Head of State, acting on the advice of Scottish ministers under the interim constitution. That choice maximises continuity, matches the 2013 White Paper and the practice of other independent realms, and avoids adding a divisive institutional redesign to the transition. The people would make the long-term choice between monarchy and republic through the Constitutional Convention and the referendum on the permanent constitution, ideally within three to five years. Forcing a republic on day one or locking in the monarchy forever both fail the tests of stability and democratic ownership. Continuity first, popular decision second, is the method consistent with the two-stage constitutional design and with the continuity-first principles that run through this framework. The Head of State question is important; it is not more important than payment continuity, legal continuity, or the successful establishment of the state’s core functions. This sequence keeps that priority clear. Every subsequent operational section of this series—on sterlingisation, fiscal rules, nuclear basing, borders, pensions and day-one institutions—presupposes a clear constitutional structure capable of supporting formal acts from Independence Day. This section ensures that structure includes a settled interim Head of State and a democratic path to the permanent choice.

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### **Series Footer**

This analysis forms part of People’s Future Scotland: The Independence Debate, a series examining the practical, legal and institutional questions that would arise in any move to independence. Each section is designed to withstand scrutiny by setting out mechanisms, constraints and continuity requirements with equal clarity. The series proceeds from the premise that a decision of this magnitude requires a process and a prospectus that both supporters and opponents can recognise as serious.